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BIS Shrapnel Retail Property Market Forecasts and Strategies 2011-2021
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BIS Shrapnel Pty Limited have just released their latest report into the Retail Property Market. Whilst recognizing that the retail sector is “facing challenging conditions” and, as with any forecast, there are a number of assumptions and unknowns that could challenge the forecast but overall the report provides a positive outlook for “solid returns” for the retail development sector over the next ten years. The report expects and assumes that the mining boom Australia is currently experiencing will continue and that the benefits will eventually flow from the mining industry into the broader Australian economy. As a result it is expected that consumers will start spending again creating a more healthy environment for retailers. The benefits of money flowing back to the retailers will flow through to all parts the sector. In conclusion BIS Shrapnel forecasts an “Overall, modest income growth” with “some firming of yields” allowing “prospective total returns to creep into double digits. A solid – if unspectacular – performance.”

Reports such as this and news that work has commenced on Pacific Development’s latest $385m retail development in Adelaide’s Rundel Mall are welcome positive signs amid the current spate of pessimistic headlines.

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